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May 1, 2019

@EndeavourMining Q1 press release digest

$EDV Q1-2019 results as per attached. As the press release is quite lengthy, below is a quick digest.
·     Beat broker consensus across key metrics
(note that the Bloomberg consensus is incomplete)
Consensus
No. of
Production
AISC
CFPS pre-WC
Adj. EPS
estimates
(koz)
($/oz)
($/sh)
($/sh)
Bloomberg
5
112
n.a.
$0.36
$(0.05)
Company Surveyed
11
110
$970
$0.39
$(0.08)
Actual

121
$877
$0.44
$(0.04)
Beat / Miss

Beat
Beat
Beat
Beat
         The production beat vs. consensus was driven by a slightly better than expected performance across operating mines and the earlier than expected first pour gold at Ity CIL
         The AISC beat vs. consensus was largely driven by a beat at Agbaou while Hounde and Karma were within 5% of consensus
         Q1-2019 production decreased and AISC increased over the record Q4-2018 (as anticipated) due to: 1) the Ity heap leach operation ceased in 2018 ahead of the CIL commissioning and 2) the group strategically fed ῀30% of total mill feed from low-grade stockpiles (in line with the previously announced focus on reducing working capital), allowing for an increase in waste capitalization activities which is expected to give rise to higher grades in the upcoming quarters.
·     Well positioned to meet full year 2019 production and AISC guidance

         Stronger performance is expected in the upcoming quarters as the Ity CIL project was commissioned in early Q2-2019 and higher process grades are expected across the group
         As a reminder 2019 guidance is for production of 615-695koz and AISC of between $760-810/oz
·     Upcoming catalysts:
ESTIMATED TIMING
CATALYST
Early-Q2
Ity CIL
   Benefit from the start of commercial production at Ity CIL
Q2
Ity CIL
   Increased resource at the Le Plaque discovery
Q2
Houndé
   Maiden reserve for the Kari Pump discovery
Late-Q2
Houndé
   Commissioning of the high-grade Bouéré deposit
Mid-year
Houndé
   Drill results for the ongoing exploration campaign at the Kari West and Kari Center discoveries
Q3
Fetekro
   Resources increase at the Lafigue deposit
Q4
Ity CIL
   Plant upsize to 5Mtpa complete
Q4
Houndé
   Maiden resource for the Kari West and Kari Center discoveries
Q4
Ity CIL
   Maiden reserve for the Le Plaque discovery


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