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March 25, 2021

#Commodities’ latest boom is being spurred by #infrastructure-led spending to speed the recovery from the pandemic, supercharged with the world’s move towards #GreenEnergy

Rethinking the new minerals boom | Financial Times
Miners work at a cobalt mine pit in  the Democratic Republic of Congo
Extracting minerals, such as lithium, cobalt or copper, is still a dirty business with significant environmental and human impact © REUTERS
Rethinking the new minerals boom

Consumption and production patterns need to change in the energy transition

5 hours ago 

The mining industry is currently alight with talk of a new commodity "supercycle".

The last one coincided with China's rapid industrialisation growth spurt, and whether it is a supercycle or not, a major boom looks likely because of infrastructure-led spending to speed recovery from the pandemic coupled with the energy transition. Indeed, the talk of Green New Deals seeks to wed this energy transformation with that economic stimulus.

Mining companies, and their investors, are obviously enthusiastic about such an expansion. Mining entrepreneur Robert Friedland gloated that "if we get a Green New Deal where bankers just hit the zero keys . . . it would make our day".

However, miners are also taking advantage of their role supplying metals to renewables, batteries and electrical infrastructure to create a new green narrative for mining — the "black-to-green revolution".

In this new world, mining companies are the climate heroes saving the world, although it also conveniently downplays overall demand for critical metal end-uses, in the likes of construction, aviation, electronics and the arms industry. For example, even in the highest demand scenarios, under no circumstances will the renewable energy sector consume the majority of the annual production of copper.

The new demand supporting the energy transition does not change the act of mining. Extracting minerals, such as lithium, cobalt or copper, is still a dirty business with significant environmental and human impact.

This new boom threatens to open new extractive frontiers, in the global south but also in North America and Europe. There is an urgent need to deal with the potential widespread destruction and human rights abuses that could be unleashed. 

Although it is crucial to tackle the climate crisis, and rapidly transition away from fossil fuels, this cannot be achieved by just expanding our reliance on other materials. The energy crisis is fundamentally a resource-usage crisis.

Our use of natural resources has more than tripled since 1970 and is on a continued growth path. According to the International Resource Panel, 90 per cent of biodiversity loss and water stress are caused by resource extraction and processing and these same activities contribute to about half of global greenhouse gas emissions. 

...

On the demand side, there are a number of practical solutions that should be initiated or accelerated to enable better-informed choices about our energy and consumption, and to reduce the need for new resource extraction. However, it is not enough to switch to green growth, such as simply increasing the production of new electric vehicles.

Read the whole article on the FT here: https://www.ft.com/content/59cb407c-bf19-4e2e-8fed-bb3f140e5800?

Andy Whitmore is author of the War on Want 'A Material Transition' report and co-chair of the London Mining Network

The Commodities Note is an online commentary on the industry from the Financial Times.

https://bit.ly/MasterMetals



March 23, 2021

#Trafigura Sees More Than 50% Upside in #Copper From #GreenEnergy Supercycle

Trafigura sees surging demand driving copper to new all-time highs

Trafigura Sees Green Copper Supercycle Driving Prices to $15,000

  • Global green revolution to produce deep supply deficit
  • Covid-19 boosts ex-China demand, head of copper trading says

The world’s biggest copper trader expects the metal to hit $15,000 a ton in the coming decade as demand from global decarbonization produces a deep market deficit.

Even in the early stages of the Covid-19 crisis, Trafigura Group was betting on the rebound that’s seen copper double over the past year to trade at more than $9,000 a ton. Now the commodities giant sees the metal soaring past record highs above $10,000 as western economies pull out of the pandemic and the green revolution takes hold, head of copper trading Kostas Bintas said in an interview.

So far, the rally has been fueled by virus-related supply disruptions and an unprecedented buying spree in China, consumer of half of the world’s copper. But as global investment in renewable energy and electric-vehicle infrastructure surges over the next few years, Trafigura sees prices of the bellwether raw material marching even higher.

“We thought copper would come out of this Covid crisis stronger, and that’s exactly what’s happened,” Bintas said. “What Covid has done is it has made the rest of the world a major factor in consumption growth, compared to the past, when copper was all about China.”

March 16, 2021

#Calibre Mining's #Pavon #Gold Deposit Will Be A #Cash Machine! $CXB 🤑💰

Calibre @CalibreMiningCo Announces Positive Pavon Gold Mine Pre-Feasibility Study; 
After-tax NPV5% at US$1,700 gold of $106 Million
Pavon Norte Currently in Production; Strong Exploration Potential; 

They will be using a portion of the installed 2.2 million tonne per annum capacity at the Libertad mill. 

Pavon represents an average of 0.32 million tonnes per annum of mill feed over the next four years, additional mill feed sources include those at Limon and Libertad as per the 2020 PEA leaving an average of 1.5 million tonnes of surplus annual mill capacity over the next four years

As announced on January 21, 2021, Calibre has commenced open pit mining and transporting Pavon Norte ore to its Libertad mill and expects to ramp up production throughout the year

March 10, 2021

#Gold & #Mining Stocks - Big rally yesterday

The past week saw the Gold Market in a shake-out period. The purpose is to shake out the weak holders of gold so that the commercial dealers can cover their huge short positions. The shake-out period is likely to continue for some weeks still. 

 

However, this is not a one way street. Expect sharp rallies along the way. 


One of these occurred yesterday due to the U.S. relief package having passed the US Senate and is set for approval in the House of Representatives where the Democrats hold the majority of the seats. It will then go to President Biden for his signature. 

 

Attachment 1 shows the advance yesterday from US$ 1'680 per ounce to US$ 1'720.

 

The gold stocks reacted positive. GDX (US$ 32.30) (VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF), the largest gold mining stocks ETF, advanced 2.9%, but more importantly, it left a very short bottom formation on the upside (attachment 2). MACD (lower chart) is just about to break on the upside. MACD, by not reaching the low of November 2020, gave a sign of divergence, meaning investors shouldn't trust the latest sell-off.



Attachment 3 is the daily chart of the ratio between GDX and gold futures prices. GDX broke out on the upside from a short-term falling wedge meaning gold stocks should outperform the gold price.



March 9, 2021

#Roxgold $ROXG Extends #Koula with 26.5 g/t #Gold Over 16m & 18.5 g/t Over 15m at #Séguéla #CoteDIvoire



Some great hits at depth from Koula.

Koula RC Highlights
16 metres (“m”) at 26.5 grams per tonne gold (“g/t Au”) in drill hole SGRD1084 from 233m including
2m at 115.3 g/t Au from 234m and
1m at 24.7 g/t Au from 246m and
1m at 31.0 g/t Au from 248m

15m at 18.5 g/t Au in drill hole SGRD1088 from 256m including
5m at 24.2 g/t Au from 260m and
3m at 45.1 g/t Au from 268m

7m at 22.3 g/t Au in drill hole SGRC1085 from 256m including
1m at 104.5 g/t Au from 261m

17m at 7.7 g/t Au in drill hole SGRD1081 from 193m including
2m at 41.6 g/t Au from 194m and
1m at 15.3 g/t Au from 206m


TORONTO--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Roxgold Inc. (“Roxgold” or the “Company”) (TSX: ROXG) (OTCQX: ROGFF) is pleased to announce assay results from down-plunge extension drilling below the high grade deposit, Koula, at the Séguéla Gold Project (“Séguéla”) located in Côte d’Ivoire.

This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210309005287/en/

Séguéla Gold Project, Côte d’Ivoire:

Highlights from Reverse Circulation (“RC”) and Diamond tail (“RD”) drilling

Koula
16 metres (“m”) at 26.5 grams per tonne gold (“g/t Au”) in drill hole SGRD1084 from 233m including
2m at 115.3 g/t Au from 234m and
1m at 24.7 g/t Au from 246m and
1m at 31.0 g/t Au from 248m

15m at 18.5 g/t Au in drill hole SGRD1088 from 256m including
5m at 24.2 g/t Au from 260m and
3m at 45.1 g/t Au from 268m

7m at 22.3 g/t Au in drill hole SGRC1085 from 256m including
1m at 104.5 g/t Au from 261m

17m at 7.7 g/t Au in drill hole SGRD1081 from 193m including
2m at 41.6 g/t Au from 194m and
1m at 15.3 g/t Au from 206m

“As Séguéla moves closer to a construction decision, we continue to push towards the goal of defining additional mineralization in support of our vision of Séguéla becoming a 150,000 ounce per year producer over ten plus years,” commented John Dorward, President and Chief Executive Officer of Roxgold. “The assay results today, while still early, build our confidence in the potential for Koula to conceptually extend its life via a high-grade underground operation. The strength of mineralization at depth at Koula is similar to what we were seeing at depth down-plunge in Ancien last year – a program which was temporarily put on hold in order to infill and upgrade the in-pit defined Inferred Mineral Resource at Koula for inclusion into the upcoming Feasibility study. While we had initially viewed Koula as an attractive satellite opportunity it is now clear that it has the potential to be the most important deposit defined at Séguéla so far. In addition, our drills have resumed extension testing at Ancien, the other ultra-high grade deposit discovered to date.

“We continue to believe we have only begun to tap the potential of the Séguéla Project and are eager to continue to uncover and test the wealth of additional targets present on the property. While our exploration team continues their work at Séguéla, the critical path for the Séguéla project plan is on track with the Feasibility Study scheduled for the second quarter of this year, followed soon thereafter by a construction decision towards the goal of achieving first gold pour at Séguéla in 2022.”

Paul Weedon, Vice President Exploration commented “Building off the recent high grade results from the conclusion of the infill program, these new results highlight the potential for an underground target extending down-plunge from Koula and provide a high degree of confidence in the high grades over at least 150m down-plunge. Coupled with the 14m at 4.3 g/t intersected in SGRD971 we see mineralization extending at least 250m at depth and I am looking forward to the results from the next round of step-out drilling, which is testing the potential a further 120m down-plunge.”

See the full release with all multimedia features here:  


Friedland-backed HPX raises $200MM for #Nimba #IronOre project in #Guinea

Mount Nimba lies at the intersection of Liberia, Guinea and Côte d’Ivoire. (Photo by Guy Debonnet | UNESCO.)
Mount Nimba lies at the intersection of Liberia, Guinea and Côte d’Ivoire.

High Power Exploration (HPX) raised $200 million for its proposed Nimba iron ore mine
 in the Guinean Nimba Mountains, classified as a strict nature reserve in 1944 and then as a World Heritage Site in 1981-82 for being home to globally threatened and endemic species.

The boundary of the reserve and World Heritage Site was modified in 1993 to exclude a keyhole-shaped area to allow mining in the proposed project area.

HFX will only be able to secure the environmental permits needed to start construction if the World Heritage Committee approves it.

Friedland has already taken provisions to cover himself from the underlying political risks: HFX said that the World Bank’s insurance arm, known as the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA), has provided the project with political risk cover!

March 2, 2021

#Gold Needs to Catch a Bid, but #Seasonality Isn’t On Its Side

Seasonal Gold Chart — Last 30 years



Metals Charts (Weekly): Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium, Platinum, GDX, GDXJ, SIL, GLD, Miners, mining stocks

“You can’t have #GreenEnergy without #Mining.” There aren't enough raw materials being produced to replace millions of ICE vehicles with #EVs

“You can’t have green energy without mining,” Mark Senti, chief executive of Florida-based rare earth magnet company Advanced Magnet Lab Inc. “That’s just the reality.”

Rare earth magnets are used to make a range of consumer electronics as well as precision-guided missiles and other weapons.

Two sources familiar with White House deliberations on domestic mining told Reuters that Biden plans to allow mines that produce EV metals to be developed under existing environmental standards, rather than face a tightened process that would apply to mining for other materials, such as coal.

Biden is open to allowing more mines on federal land, the sources said, but won’t give the industry carte blanche to dig everywhere. That will likely mean approval of mines for rare earths and lithium, though certain copper projects – including a proposed Arizona copper mine from Rio Tinto Plc opposed by Native Americans - are likely to face extra scrutiny, the sources said.

March 1, 2021

#Canada’s #Gold Miners at the forefront of West #Africa’s #Mining Development

Canadian miners dig deeper in West Africa
Canadian miners dig deeper in West Africa
An artisanal miner climbs out of a gold mine at the unlicensed mining site of Nsuaem Top in Ghana, November 24, 2018. REUTERS/Zohra Bensemra

Mining firms large and small are exporting the expertise gained in their home market to Francophone West African countries where governments are keen to boost their revenue. Canada is home to gold giants like Barrick Gold, as well as minnows that are far from being household names.

"West Africa has more potential than any other region in the world. Its geology is similar to that of northern Ontario, Quebec or Western Australia – exceptionally prolific belts," says Richard Young, head of the Canadian mining group Teranga Gold Corporation, which is active in Senegal and Burkina Faso.

The region is the third-richest gold-bearing zone in the world, after Australia and Canada. The Covid-19 pandemic has helped boost the gold price, as many investors sought safe havens for their money. The price briefly broke the $2,000/oz barrier in August 2020, before returning to the high $1,800s in November.

Three countries in the region are now among the top five African gold producers, starting with Ghana, which has become the continent's largest producer with 142tn mined in 2019. This puts it ahead of South Africa (118tn), Sudan (76tn), Mali (61tn, with 15 industrial mines in operation) and Burkina Faso (51tn, 14 mines).

Who is interested?

Although, according to experts, the region is still largely underexplored,

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