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July 6, 2020
#MiningStocks Financings Coming Back to Life with #Gold at Multi Year Highs
Freeport-McMoRan’s Recent Strength Is Just the Start $FCX @FM_FCX
That level of profitability would produce annual earnings of about $1.10 a share, which would mean that the stock is trading for just 10 times earnings. That expectation assumes no additional rise in the prices of copper or gold.
But that's not my assumption.
I expect copper prices to continue trending higher toward $3 a pound and gold prices to top $2,000 an ounce on their way to $3,000.
At $3 copper and $2,000 gold, Freeport's annual EBITDA could approach $7.5 billion.
But that's not all…
The company's massive investments to increase production at its Grasberg mine in Indonesia are just starting to bear fruit. As a result, company-wide annual copper production should jump about 40% over the next two years to 4.2 billion pounds. At the same time, gold production should double to 1.8 million ounces.
Source: Chart by InvestorPlace
Those hefty production numbers could produce EBITDA well over $10 billion and earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $2.
July 3, 2020
#Gold #MiningStocks vs. Physical - Bottom Line? They're Cheap! $GDX $GDXJ $GLD $XAU
The Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index of mining stocks is still nearly half of where it was at the peak in 2010. It was in 2010 at a record high of 232.72. On Thursday, July 2, 2020 it was 127.06 (attachment 1). That is 45% lower.
Meanwhile spot gold around US$ 1’770 is much closer to its record high of 1'917 per ounce in 2011 or just 8% below the all-time high (attachment 2).