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November 11, 2021

$EDV @EndeavourMining: Q3 Results Digest


Consensus

No. of

CFPS pre-WC

Adj. EPS

Production

AISC

Estimates

($/sh)

($/sh)

(koz)

($/oz)

Bloomberg

11

1.06

0.41

344

n.a.

Company Surveyed

17

1.05

0.42

343

969

Actual

 

1.30

0.61

382

904

Beat / Miss

 

Strong Beat

Strong Beat

Strong Beat

Strong Beat

·     Q3 Broker consensus vs. actuals

Endeavour Mining just published Q3-2021 results. The press release is quite lengthy, below is a quick digest.

         Positioned to beat full-year production guidance of 1,365-1,495koz within the guided AISC range of $850-900/oz; which would mark the ninth consecutive year of meeting guidance. 

·     Healthy balance sheet with Net Debt reduced to $70m despite having returned $105m to shareholders during Q3-2021; Net Debt to EBITDA leverage ratio stands as near zero

·     Continued strong focus on shareholder returns with $224m paid year to date

         As a reminder, dividend strategy is to distribute at least $500m over the next three years, with supplemental returns by way of additional dividends and buybacks if the gold price prevails above US$1,500/oz and leverage remains below 0.5x Net Debt to adjusted EBITDA

         Paid H1-2021 interim dividend of $70m during the quarter, which is over half the FY-2021 minimum dividend, demonstrating commitment to paying supplemental returns over the fixed minimum

         Completed $35m of buybacks during the quarter; a total of $94m of buybacks have now been completed since the start of the program in April 

Click the link to view short video with our CEO, Sébastien de Montessus, presenting a summary of our Q3 Results
https://youtu.be/-e3ubUmUCKg

·     Organic growth remains on track

         Construction of Sabodala-Massawa Phase 1 on track for completion by year-end

         DFS for Sabodala-Massawa Phase 2 expansion, Fetekro and Kalana expected in Q1-2021 to allow for new resources at Sabodala-Massawa and Fetekro to be incorporated into studies

         Group on track to discover more than 2.5Moz of Indicated resources in 2021 with significant recent discoveries at Ity, Houndé, Sabodala-Massawa and Fetekro

·     LSE listing, indexation and liquidity have performed well

         Subsequent to Endeavour's premium listing on the London Stock Exchange ("LSE"), Endeavour was included in the FTSE All Share, FTSE 250, FTSE 350 and FTSE 350 Lower Yield indexes as part of the FTSE Q3-2021 rebalancing, which became effective on 20 September 2021

         Strong liquidity in the UK (LSE, CBOE, CXE, BXE, OTC) since listing, equivalent to 25% of total trading

         Upcoming FTSE 100 inclusion potential as our current market capitalisation positions us within the top 100 companies (FTSE market cap review date is 30th November)

·     Upcoming catalysts:

TIMING

CATALYST

 

Q4-2021

Exploration

   Resource updates at Sabodala-Massawa, Houndé, Ity and Fetekro

Q4-2021

Sabodala-Massawa

Completion of Phase 1 plant upgrades

Q1-2022

Sabodala-Massawa

Completion of Definitive Feasibility Study for Phase 2

Q1-2022

Fetekro

Completion of Definitive Feasibility Study

Q1-2022

Shareholder Returns

H2-2021 dividend

Q1-2022

Kalana

Completion of Definitive Feasibility Study

 www.endeavourmining.com/

 

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