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December 4, 2014

#MasterEnergy: US proved #oil reserves increase 5th year in a row; U.S. #natgas proved reserves now at all-time high

#NorthDakota leads with 2bn barrel increase, now has more reserves than Gulf of Mexico 

U.S. proved reserves of oil increase for the fifth year in a row in 2013; U.S. natural gas proved reserves increase 10% and are now at an all-time high

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December 4, 2014

U.S. proved reserves of oil increase for the fifth year in a row in 2013; U.S. natural gas proved reserves increase 10% and are now at an all-time high

  • North Dakota proved oil reserves surpass the Gulf of Mexico
  • Pennsylvania and West Virginia account for 70% of increase in natural gas reserves

U.S. crude oil proved reserves increased for the fifth year in a row in 2013, a net addition of 3.1 billion barrels of proved oil reserves (a 9% increase) according to U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves, 2013, released today by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).

U.S. natural gas proved reserves increased 10% in 2013, more than replacing the 7% decline in proved reserves seen in 2012, and raising the U.S. total to a record level of 354 trillion cubic feet (Tcf).

  Crude oil and lease condensate
billion barrels
Wet natural gas
trillion cubic feet
2012 U.S. proved reserves 33.4 322.7
Net additions to U.S. proved reserves +3.1 +31.3
2013 U.S. proved reserves 36.5 354.0
Percentage change 9% 10%

At the state level, North Dakota led in additions of oil reserves (adding almost 2 billion barrels of proved oil reserves in 2013, a 51% increase from 2012) because of development of the Bakken and Three Forks formations in the Williston Basin. North Dakota's proved oil reserves surpassed those of the federal offshore Gulf of Mexico for the first time in 2013. Texas (still the state with the largest proved reserves of oil) had the second largest increase, adding 903 million barrels of proved oil reserves in 2013.

Pennsylvania and West Virginia reported the largest net increases in natural gas proved reserves in 2013, driven by continued development of the Marcellus Shale play, the largest U.S. shale gas play based on proved reserves. Combined, these two states added 21.8 Tcf of natural gas proved reserves in 2013 (13.5 Tcf in Pennsylvania and 8.3 Tcf in West Virginia) and were 70% of the net increase in proved natural gas reserves in 2013. U.S. production of both oil and natural gas increased in 2013: Production of crude oil and lease condensate increased 15% (rising from 6.5 to 7.4 million barrels per day), while U.S. production of natural gas increased 2% (rising from 71 to 73 billion cubic feet per day).

Proved reserves are those volumes of oil and natural gas that geological and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable in future years from known reservoirs under existing economic and operating conditions. An increase in natural gas prices used to characterize existing economic conditions contributed to the reported increase in proved natural gas reserves. For example, the 12-month first-of-the-month average natural spot price at Henry Hub increased from $2.75 per million Btu (MMBtu) in 2012 to $3.66 per MMBtu in 2013.

EIA's estimates of proved reserves are based on an annual survey of domestic oil and gas well operators.

U.S. Crude Oil and Natural Gas Proved Reserves, 2013 is available at: http://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/crudeoilnaturalgasreserves.

The product described in this press release was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical and analytical agency within the U.S. Department of Energy. By law, EIA's data, analysis, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the United States Government. The views in the product and press release therefore should not be construed as representing those of the Department of Energy or other federal agencies.

EIA Program Contact: Steven G. Grape, 202-586-1868, Steven.Grape@eia.gov
EIA Press Contact: Jonathan Cogan, 202-586-8719, Jonathan.Cogan@eia.gov

EIA-2014-11

U.S. Energy Information Administration

November 21, 2014

#EIA launches new tool for crude #oil import analysis #MasterEnergy


EIA launches new tool for crude oil import analysis

Today EIA released a new U.S. Crude Oil Import Tracking Tool that allows policymakers, analysts, and the public to more easily track trends in crude oil imports. Users can sort and display crude oil imports by month or year, by crude type (i.e., light, medium, heavy), country source, port of entry, processing company, processing refinery, and more. The tool features graphing and mapping capabilities and a built-in help function.

Recent and forecast increases in domestic crude production have sparked discussion about how rising crude oil volumes will be absorbed. To date, a primary mechanism for absorbing increased production has been the displacement of imported crude oil, which has fallen from 8.9 million barrels per day (bbl/d) in 2011 to 7.5 million bbl/d in August 2014.

This tool sheds light on the adjustments to imports being made in response to growing production of crude oil within the United States. It is one part of EIA's ongoing effort to assess the effects of a possible relaxation of current limitations on U.S. crude oil exports, which is another avenue to accommodate domestic production growth. EIA is undertaking further work on this larger question, and expects to issue more analysis reports over the coming months.

Launched on EIA's beta site to solicit customer feedback, and incorporate that feedback into the final release, the new tool represents EIA's latest step in making energy data more accessible, understandable, relevant, and responsive to users' needs. The U.S. Crude Oil Import Tracking Tool can be found at: http://www.eia.gov/beta/petroleum/imports/browser/

Also released today is a report, EIA's U.S. Crude Oil Import Tracking Tool: Selected Sample Applications, that provides examples of the application of the new tool. The examples were selected to illustrate the tool's capabilities to access information from EIA's monthly Company Level Import database for different time periods, regions, companies, and crude oil qualities. Using the tool yielded the following insights regarding recent trends in U.S. crude oil imports:

  • Volume and quality of U.S. crude oil imports: U.S. crude oil imports have declined since 2010, with nearly all of the decline occurring in light sweet grades. In particular, U.S. light crude imports fell 71% between 2010 and the period January through August 2014.
  • Source of U.S. crude oil imports: Imports of light crude from Africa, particularly from Nigeria and Algeria, have declined by 93%.
  • Light crude oil imports by region: The largest decline in crude oil imports occurred on the Gulf Coast (PADD 3), down 94%. Light crude oil imports by East Coast (PADD 1) refiners were down 69%, reflecting both their increased use of domestic crudes and modestly lower refinery runs.
  • Refinery-level trends in light crude imports: Imports by the 10 largest refineries using imported light crude in 2013 accounted for 55% of total U.S. light crude imports, with the remaining 45% scattered among more than 100 other refineries. The largest source for light crude imports among this group of 10 refineries was Canada, followed by Nigeria and Mexico. Of these 10 refineries, 3 are located on the East Coast, 2 in the Midwest, 3 on the Gulf Coast, and 2 on the West Coast.
  • Refinery-level trends in imports other than light sweet crude: There is evidence that some refineries have recently reduced imports of medium and heavy grades of crude oil in order to accommodate increasing light domestic production. Other refiners, which have made changes in processing equipment to accommodate heavier crudes, have increased their imports of such crudes.
The product described in this press release was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), the statistical and analytical agency within the U.S. Department of Energy. By law, EIA's data, analysis, and forecasts are independent of approval by any other officer or employee of the United States Government. The views in the product and press release therefore should not be construed as representing those of the Department of Energy or other federal agencies.

EIA Press Contact: Jonathan Cogan, 202-586-8719, jonathan.cogan@eia.gov

EIA-2014-10

November 20, 2014

A Chronology of #Canada's #Energy Export Plans @Stratfor

The defeat of TransCanada's Keystone XL project in the U.S. Senate on Nov. 18 is unlikely to be the final word on the controversial pipeline.



A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Plans

Analysis

Editor's Note: In light of the defeat of the Keystone XL bill in congress Nov. 18, 59 - 41 votes in favor, we have assembled a chronology of Stratfor's recent analyses on the matter of Canada's fast-evolving energy transportation plans with the rest of North America.
The defeat of TransCanada's Keystone XL project in the U.S. Senate on Nov. 18 is unlikely to be the final word on the controversial pipeline. Lack of Senate endorsement is anticipated to be only a temporary delay to the Keystone XL approval bill working its way through Congress. The proposed bill will be one of the first things on the agenda in 2015. The Republican win in November's general elections appears to have given the bill a filibuster-proof number of supporters, meaning it will likely appear on the president's desk next year.
It is important to remember, however, that Keystone XL is far from the only option available to Canada. Ottawa currently has three outstanding proposals with potential backing. The Pacific Ocean-based TransMountain Expansion and the Northern Gateway pipelines face significant hurdles in British Colombia, but going east, Canada also has the potential Energy East pipeline, which faces less domestic opposition yet is large scale and expensive.
Even in the United States, Keystone XL is only one of many options. Enbridge's Alberta Clipper pipeline from Alberta to Superior, Wisconsin, is being expanded to 570,000 barrels per day with a further application in process to increase its capacity to 800,000 bpd. Unfortunately for Enbridge, like Keystone XL, the second expansion has been frozen at the State Department level. In another effort to get oil downstream to Texas, Enbridge has built pipelines running to Cushing, Oklahoma — the most recent conduit to come online being the Flanagan South pipeline from Pontiac, Illinois, to Cushing, Oklahoma.
For Canada, pipelines are important, but right now, even with low oil prices, many Canadian producers are getting higher returns than they did earlier. Other pipeline alternatives and increased rail capacity has reduced the differential between Canadian oil prices and global oil prices, meaning, in some respects, that the Canadian price hasn't really dropped despite lower global prices. At the same time, however, the Canadian dollar has weakened against the U.S. dollar, meaning that the incentives for Ottawa to improve energy flows to the United States remain heightened. Pipeline and energy sector concerns will be the heart of Canada's next national elections in October 2015.

Read the rest of the article online on Stratfor here:  A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Plans | Stratfor
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