April 29, 2014

#Gold-en Loophole: How an alleged #Turkish crime ring helped #Iran @Reuters

We reported on this in November of 2012, here and here, when Turkish Gold Import/Export numbers went through the roof.



Special Report - Golden Loophole: How an alleged Turkish crime ring helped Iran

Photo
5:12am EDT
By Humeyra Pamuk, Steve Stecklow, Babak Dehghanpisheh and Can Sezer


ISTANBUL (Reuters) - In this city's Grand Bazaar, sellers along
labyrinthine passageways hawk carpets, jewelry and souvenir knick-knacks
to tourists.


Turkish police believe that until recently, the area around the
market also sat at the center of an audacious, multi-billion-dollar
scheme involving bribery and suspect food shipments to Iran.


To date, no one has been charged. But a recently leaked police report
- which contains allegations of payments to top Turkish government
officials including cash stuffed into shoeboxes - has added fuel to a
growing corruption scandal that has shaken the highest levels of
Turkey's political establishment.


A review by Reuters of the report's 299 pages, as well as interviews
with currency and precious metals dealers, offer colorful new details of
how what police call a "crime organization" allegedly helped Iran
exploit a loophole in the West's sanctions regime that for a time
allowed the Islamic Republic to purchase gold with oil and gas revenues.


While the gold trade was then legal, the police report alleges the
purported crime network bribed officials in part so it could maintain
control of the lucrative business.


Then, when the West last July prohibited the gold trade as a
sanctions violation, the police report alleges the network concocted
records of shipments of food at preposterous volumes and prices to
continue giving Iran access to foreign currency.


The police report - which includes transcripts of wiretapped
conversations and surveillance photographs - was prepared for
prosecutors. Reuters confirmed its authenticity with Ekrem Aydiner, the
current chief prosecutor in charge of the case.


Turkey's Prime Minister, Tayyip Erdogan, has called the police
investigation a foreign-orchestrated plot without legal merit. In recent
months, Turkey's judiciary removed several prosecutors from the case.
That has raised questions about whether Turkish law enforcement
authorities will continue to pursue it. Aydiner said the matter remains
under active investigation.


In many ways the plot described in the police report resembles a
made-for-TV crime series: A cop who is thought to have tipped off tax
authorities finds himself transferred to a distant outpost by the Black
Sea, a plane that arrives from Ghana carrying 1.5 metric tons of gold
with no clear owner, and millions of dollars in payoffs to various
officials to block rivals and gain valuable favors such as fast-track
Turkish citizenship for members of the purported crime network and their
families.


The report presents a wealthy young businessman of Iranian descent
named Reza Zarrab as the ringleader. Zarrab grew up in Turkey, holds
citizenship, resides in a manor on the Bosphorus and goes by the Turkish
name Riza Sarraf. He is well known on Istanbul's celebrity circuit, and
is married to Turkish pop star Ebru Gundes, who is a judge on a popular
television talent show. Following her husband's detention in December -
he was released from jail two months later without being charged - she
tearfully told viewers, "God willing, I hope these dark days will pass
quickly."


When Reuters reporters recently visited his residence, they were
greeted by about a half-dozen security guards who said he was out of
town. His attorney, Seyda Yildirim, later declined to comment.


In an interview published on April 19 with Sabah, a Turkish
newspaper, Zarrab said, "The trade I do is completely legal." He later
said in an interview on Turkish television that he had helped to reduce
the country's current account deficit.


GOLD RUSH


The police report states that its investigation found evidence of
bribery, fraud and gold smuggling. Although not central to the police
investigation, the West's economic sanctions on Iran provide the
backdrop of the alleged scheme.


As financial sanctions tightened in 2012, both Turkey and Iran had
pressing needs: Turkey required oil and gas for its fast-growing
economy, while Iran desperately needed hard currency to pay for new
automobiles and other foreign imports.


Under the sanctions - imposed by Washington and Brussels to contain
Iran's nuclear ambitions - Turkey was permitted to purchase oil and gas
from its neighbor. But it was required to pay in Turkish lira, a
currency that is of limited value for buying goods on international
markets. All payments were to be deposited in an Iranian bank account at
Turkey's state-controlled Halkbank.


In 2012, Turkey purchased from Iran more than $10 billion worth of
oil and gas, according to Reuters' calculations based on data from
Turkey's energy market regulation board and Turkish officials.


One commodity that Iran was permitted to purchase with its money was
gold. A veritable Turkish gold rush ensued with bullion shipped to Iran
in everything from couriers' rucksacks to airplane cargo holds.


Turkish gold exports to Iran exploded from one metric tons in 2011 to
125.8 metric tons in 2012, worth $6.5 billion, according to the Turkish
statistical institute. Another 85 metric tons, worth $4.6 billion, were
exported that year to the United Arab Emirates, a known transshipment
point to Iran.


The police report alleges that Zarrab and a network of companies he
controlled were running much of the gold trade with Iran, sometimes via
Dubai. "It is understood that, to overcome sanctions and move money to
Iran, Riza Sarraf used Turkey as a stepping stone," the report states.


To keep the business running smoothly, the report alleges, Zarrab's
network paid bribes to Zafer Caglayan, Turkey's economy minister;
Muammer Guler, the interior minister; Egemen Bagis, the European Union
Affairs minister; and Suleyman Aslan, Halkbank's chief executive.


All three ministers, who have since either resigned or been dropped
from the cabinet, have denied wrongdoing; none have been charged.
Caglayan declined to comment; Guler could not be reached for comment.
Lawyers for Bagis and Aslan did not return calls seeking comment.


Halkbank has denied violating any domestic or international laws. A
spokesperson declined to answer questions but did say the bank is not
under any investigation by Turkey's police or judiciary.


According to the police report, many of the payoffs were allegedly
picked up in a building on a row of jewelry dealers near the Grand
Bazaar. Police also tracked the shipment of a Swiss watch the network
allegedly gave to Caglayan, the economy minister, that cost about
$340,000. Bagis, the EU Affairs minister, at one point allegedly
received $500,000 cash delivered in a chocolate box, along with a silver
plate. In an intercepted phone conversation about the plate, the report
quotes Zarrab as telling an associate, "Don't make it too expensive."


The report alleges that Aslan, the former head of Halkbank, and
Caglayan received a percentage of the Iranian money transfers, resulting
in bribes that totaled tens of millions of dollars. In December, police
raided Aslan's house and seized $4.5 million stuffed in shoeboxes,
according to local media reports. Aslan told police the cash was a
charitable donation from various businessmen to build an Islamic school,
the media reports said.


The police report alleges the bribes bought the network perks such as
reduced commissions from Halkbank for money transfers, authorization to
drive along highway emergency lanes and assistance in preventing rivals
from participating in the lucrative trade. One Istanbul gold and
currency trader told Reuters, "I went to the bank about 18 months ago
and tried to open an account, saying I wanted to sell goods to Iran and
that I was going to pay via Halkbank. But they did not let me. There has
been unfair competition in terms of using this bank."


The bribes also secured the network police protection, the report
alleges. Suspecting at one point that a local police officer had
initiated a tax audit of some of Zarrab's companies, the interior
minister arranged to have the officer transferred to Zonguldak, a Black
Sea coastal town about 200 miles east of Istanbul, the report alleges.
According to the report, a wiretap allegedly picked up Guler telling
Zarrab that "we have sent him into exile."


The network also allegedly received special assistance when, in
January 2013, a plane carrying 1.5 metric tons of gold bullion arrived
at Istanbul's Ataturk airport from Ghana without proper paperwork. The
report cites wiretapped phone calls between Zarrab and Caglayan's office
allegedly showing that Caglayan intervened at Zarrab's request to
prevent customs officers from seizing the shipment. The cargo was held
up for days, but ultimately released.


The circumstances surrounding the Ghanaian gold shipment remain
murky. An Iranian billionaire businessman named Babak Zanjani, who is
accused by the United States and European Union of violating sanctions
on Iranian oil, recently posted a statement on the website of his
company, Sorinet Group, stating he was the original purchaser of the
gold from Ghana. "This type of trade was completely legal," he wrote.


Yet Zanjani boasted last year in an interview with Aseman, an Iranian
magazine, of violating sanctions. "This is my work - sanctions-busting
operations," he was quoted as saying. He is in jail in Tehran on charges
of owing the government more than $2.7 billion from oil sales; he
denies any wrongdoing.


In the website posting, Zanjani said he had met Zarrab "a few times"
but that they had not done any business together. Zarrab said in the
television interview earlier this month he had met Zanjani twice, but "I
am neither friends nor partners with him."


FAKE FOOD


Washington closed the gold loophole last July. In the television
interview, Zarrab said he stopped trading gold and "shifted to food and
medicine," which were still permitted. In a four-month period, he said,
that trade totaled about $1.6 billion.


But the police report alleges that some of the food shipments never
actually took place, but consisted of counterfeit invoices submitted to
Halkbank that should have raised plenty of red flags at the bank.


The documentation included bills of lading that purportedly showed
that cargoes "of 150,000 metric tons were being carried in vessels with a
capacity of 5,000 tons," the report alleges.


In another case, the report includes an alleged copy of an invoice
for a shipment to Iran of about five metric tons of raw brown sugar. The
cost? A whopping $250 a pound, more than a hundred times the market
rate.


The report also quotes from a wiretapped conversation with Zarrab in
which an associate allegedly tells him about the food shipment records,
"The documents we are giving are wrong. I mean, they are documents that
do not exist in reality."


Following their investigation, the police staged a series of raids
and detained dozens of suspects in December. Later that month, one of
the prosecutors on the probe was removed from the case. He accused
police of refusing to comply with his orders to detain even more
suspects. "Suspects have been allowed to take precautions, flee and
tamper with the evidence," the prosecutor, Muammer Akkas, said in a
statement to Turkish media. Reached by Reuters this month, he declined
to comment.


Aydiner, the new chief prosecutor on the case, said the detentions
were just a precaution and that no suspects have been formally charged.
"Of course, they are still under investigation," he said.


Shortly after the December raids, two of the ministers who allegedly
accepted bribes - Economy Minister Caglayan and Interior Minister Guler -
resigned; Bagis, the EU Affairs minister, was replaced in a cabinet
reshuffle.


Aslan, the chief executive of Halkbank, left his job in February. He
was recently named to the board of directors of a larger, state-owned
bank.


As part of a preliminary deal struck in November between Western
powers and Iran, Tehran promised to scale back its nuclear development
program in exchange for the suspension of certain economic sanctions.
The deal, which took effect in January and is to last until July,
includes allowing Iran to resume some gold trading.


But there's no evidence that Turkey is benefiting. Some Istanbul
traders say they are too jittery to sell gold to Iran. Gold exports have
plummeted.


(Additional reporting by Asli Kandemir in Istanbul and Gulsen Solaker in Ankara; Edited by Simon Robinson and Sara Ledwith)


© Thomson Reuters 2014. All rights reserved.  



Special Report - Golden Loophole: How an alleged Turkish crime ring helped Iran | Reuters






April 28, 2014

Enough #Gold To Restore the Classical Gold Standard

Does the US Treasury own enough gold to return to a gold-redeemable
dollar at the current price of gold?



Yes, assuming that they have what
they say they do. At a market price of $1600 per fine Troy oz. (to
choose a recently realized round number) the US government’s 261.5m
ounces of gold are worth $418.4b. Current required bank reserves are
only $83b. Looked at another way, $418.4b is 19.9 percent of current M1
(the sum of currency and checking account balances), a more than
healthy reserve ratio by historical standards. Combined with the
likelihood that US citizens’ hedging demand for gold will shrink by more
than banks’ reserve demand will grow with larger real demand for M1
balances, I expect that the denationalization and remonetization of the
US bullion stock at the current price would allow the US economy to
export some excess gold. There will be a small transitional windfall
for US citizens, getting imported goods and services in exchange for
excess gold.



Published March
13, 2012




See the whole article here: Enough Gold To Restore the Classical Gold Standard

April 2, 2014

#China’s #Cofco cements agribusiness ambitions with $1.5bn #Noble deal #AgriBusiness @FT

Under the deal, Cofco – or China National Cereals, Oil and Foodstuffs Corp – will take a 51 per cent stake in Noble Agri from Noble Group in an all-cash transaction. The deal values Noble Agri’s equity at 1.15 times 2014 book value.



Read the article online here:  China’s Cofco cements agribusiness ambitions with $1.5bn Noble deal - FT.com


April 1, 2014

#Natixis If last year’s mass exit from gold ETPs was followed this year by sales from #silver ETPs... we could see silver prices fall to an average of $15/oz in 2014 and $10/oz in 2015 @Mineweb

At 19,700 tonnes, the amount of silver held in physically backed ETPs (exchange traded products) is equivalent to almost 80% of 2012’s mined output. If last year’s mass exit from gold ETPs was followed this year by sales from silver ETPs, this could rapidly turn into a substantial new source of supply just as happened with gold last year. Under these scenarios we could see silver prices fall to an average of $15/oz in 2014 and $10/oz in 2015."



See the whole story on Mineweb: Natixis warns of extra risks to silver price over gold - GOLD NEWS - Mineweb.com Mineweb